I don’t understand the folks who feel the US has failed in Iraq. I think they’ve succeeded brilliantly, at pretty much all the things the Administration actually wanted to succeed in. Our right wing friends are right: the invasion of Iraq was never about weapons of mass destruction. There was no real threat to the US, from Iraq and there never has been. This has been about locking down an important strategic chunk of turf, and the final nail is about to be driven home.
Iraq is about to hold an election, and that means “democracy” is about to sweep the nation. Those nasty leftists have been claiming for two years now that the US has NO intention of allowing a regime unsympathetic to US interests to take over the country: they’ve been saying that the US would NEVER permit the election of a regime that might, conceivably, be even more hostile to Israel than that of Saddam. But look! They’re having an ELECTION! I guess that shows the world that the naysayers were wrong!
Well, no. Not quite.
An election in democracy is like Mass for Catholics. It’s a secular sacrament that represents the culmination of a complex political system, rooted in deeply held beliefs and reflected in institutions that extend from the community to the national level. To suggest that simply holding an election creates a “democracy” like claiming that celebrating a Mass creates a Catholic state…it doesn’t work that way.
When democracy evolves organically within a country or a culture, it is an extraordinarily powerful political and social system, as witnessed by its gradual ascendance over the the last quarter millenium. When the form of democracy is imposed from outside, however, the result is something akin to a Potemkin village. The shell is there, with some of the trappings - but what lies behind the shell is the same old patterns of power and decision making (as occurred in Zimbabwe, among other places).
To actually grow a meaningful democracy in Iraq will require the creation of community-based institutions, from the ground up, and the development capacity and systems of governance that reflect traditional values. However, holding an election, at gunpoint, in well secured areas, is relatively easy.
The Iraqi election is being held under the direction of a provisional government handpicked by the occupying nation. The collapsing security situation in the county will result in deeply assymetrical voting, favoring Shiite candidates who, by and large, are more amenable to American occupation. American money has been pouring into Iraq to support pro-”democracy” parties…i.e., parties amenable to the continuation of a strong American military and economic presence in the country. And this skewed sample is going to develop a constitution…under the watchful eye of their American protectors…that will define how all future elections will be conducted.
I admit some months ago I was curious about how the two American needs could be reconciled…the need to hold an election and provide a veneer of legitimacy , and the need to consolidate the economic and strategic gains made through the invasion. But no-one, it seems, is questioning the assumption that holding an election = triumph of democracy. And by the time the traditional power structures reassert themselves, the US will be positioned to shrug and say: “Don’t blame us…after all, we brought them democracy!”
Hats of to George. I’m sorry to say I misunderestimated him.

Allawi and the various community-based representative councils that sprang up were hand-picked by the US?